A historic downgrade has shaken global markets as the United States loses its last top-tier credit rating. Moody’s cuts the U.S. sovereign rating, ending over a century of pristine status. ESG BROADCAST shares key takeaways.
Moody’s Ratings has downgraded the United States’ long-standing ‘Aaa’ credit rating to ‘Aa1’, citing surging federal debt levels and prolonged fiscal imbalances. This move strips the U.S. of its last perfect rating, aligning it with prior downgrades by S&P in 2011 and Fitch in 2023.
The agency noted that successive administrations have failed to implement credible fiscal consolidation measures. Moody’s estimates federal debt could rise to 134% of GDP by 2035, up from 98% in 2024, raising concerns over long-term debt sustainability and interest servicing costs.
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent downplayed the downgrade, labeling it a “lagging indicator” influenced by past policies. Meanwhile, market reaction has been cautious, with U.S. Treasury yields rising to 4.48% and gold prices climbing 1.4%—reflecting investor hedging against uncertainty.
Despite the downgrade, Moody’s retained a “stable” outlook, citing the U.S. economy’s size, resilience, and the dollar’s global reserve status as enduring strengths.
The credit revision coincides with mounting political tension. Former President Donald Trump’s proposed $3.8 trillion tax cut bill failed to pass the House Budget Committee amid internal GOP opposition, complicating fiscal reform ambitions.
Economists and investors warn that unless credible fiscal frameworks are adopted, higher borrowing costs could weigh on U.S. public and private sector financing. “This should be a wake-up call,” said Senator Chuck Schumer, urging fiscal discipline across the aisle.
ESG BROADCAST will continue monitoring developments related to the U.S. fiscal outlook and credit ratings. Stay tuned for updates on this evolving story.